Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2073…8e28
crypto · 693 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$85 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$76 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$76
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses367 / 324
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)691 / 693
History coverage353d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 691 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$29
14 days+$60
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 47¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+18%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 11¢ 2¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$165
sports 6% +$97
world 5% −$18
other 2% +$11
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 322 +4.6% -5.3% 52% 52% -6.3%
≤30d 675 +2.6% -7.2% 53% 48% -13.6%
≤90d 675 +2.6% -7.2% 53% 48% -13.6%
all 691 +2.2% -7.5% 53% 48% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.5% 48% -11.4%
10% -16.3% 45% -19.9%
15% -24.4% 43% -27.7%
20% -31.8% 41% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.74 · official $4.64 (match) · 1644 history records