Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x205d…3ab2
other · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$30 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$117
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses80 / 69
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions11
Markets (closed)149 / 160
History coverage64d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 11 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$49
14 days−$74
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 100¢ $5 $19 +$14 (+284%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 60¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+45%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+75%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 65¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 100¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+614%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 54¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 50¢ 51¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Timberwolves 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? No 80¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 +$6 +599%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +53%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 +$10 +325%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$9 +152%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$13 +250%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 +$7 +34%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $53 −$52 -99%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $96 −$47 -50%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $13 −$9 -68%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $20 +$20 +101%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $8 +$5 +67%
Set Handicap: Kalinskaya (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5) Jun 03 $20 +$10 +50%
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5) Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? Jun 03 $4 +$8 +197%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $10 +$18 +172%
Connecticut Sun vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 03 $203 −$3 -2%
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Jun 02 $30 −$3 -10%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $100 +$10 +10%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $15 −$15 -99%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 02 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $160 +$25 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $101 +$23 +23%
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Jun 01 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $101 −$40 -40%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $60 +$11 +18%
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $82 +$10 +12%
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $100 +$12 +12%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20 +$26 +129%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $5 +$5 +97%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $10 +$6 +62%
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $6 +$9 +146%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$14
sports 47% +$14
crypto 3% −$47
world 1% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 54¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $15 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $3 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $20 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 65¢ $5 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $5 3h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $10 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Over 59¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $6 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 55¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 24h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 24h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $6 24h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $3 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 30h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 30h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $20 30h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +37.9% +24.8% 52% 52% +35.4%
≤30d 63 +12.3% +1.6% 54% 51% -13.7%
≤90d 149 +0.7% -8.9% 54% 51% -10.7%
all 149 +0.7% -8.9% 54% 51% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 51% -10.7%
10% -17.6% 46% -19.2%
15% -25.6% 40% -27.0%
20% -32.9% 32% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.37 · official $117.37 (match) · 250 history records