Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:52:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2053…b3a9
sports · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Wanted Goons 57¢ 66¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+15%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Federico Cina 50¢ 54¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Turkuaz 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 57¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 43¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 46¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 57¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 50¢ $3 4h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Francesco Forti 47¢ $10 6h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 49¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Turkuaz 21¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-57.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -53.3% -57.7% 0% 0% -40.2%
≤30d 2 -53.3% -57.7% 0% 0% -40.2%
≤90d 2 -53.3% -57.7% 0% 0% -40.2%
all 2 -53.3% -57.7% 0% 0% -40.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -57.7% 0% -40.2%
10% -61.8% 0% -45.9%
15% -65.5% 0% -51.1%
20% -68.9% 0% -55.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.70 · official $9.70 (match) · 8 history records