Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:43:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x204f…5e14
sports · 374 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$32,625 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,854 · open +$37,235
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 420 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,854
7 days+$14,854
14 days+$14,854
30 days+$14,854
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $128,855 $128,902 +$47 (+0%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 42¢ $77,297 $76,943 −$354 (-0%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $69,424 $68,171 −$1,254 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 77¢ 100¢ $31,982 $41,341 +$9,358 (+29%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 77¢ 78¢ $38,695 $39,470 +$775 (+2%)
Spread: Qatar (-3.5) Switzerland 100¢ 100¢ $33,321 $33,297 −$24 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $33,260 $33,175 −$85 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $31,157 $31,362 +$205 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $28,341 $28,608 +$268 (+1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $27,120 $27,509 +$388 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $26,969 $26,329 −$640 (-2%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $21,832 $21,669 −$163 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 94¢ 96¢ $20,657 $21,174 +$517 (+3%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $20,373 $21,016 +$642 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 52¢ $19,482 $19,298 −$184 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $15,632 $15,769 +$137 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $14,355 $14,496 +$141 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 89¢ 100¢ $12,774 $14,274 +$1,500 (+12%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 69¢ 44¢ $22,082 $14,156 −$7,926 (-36%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $13,966 $14,050 +$84 (+1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $13,043 $12,961 −$81 (-1%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 76¢ 100¢ $9,847 $12,871 +$3,024 (+31%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 81¢ 81¢ $12,753 $12,836 +$84 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $12,457 $12,578 +$120 (+1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 52¢ $12,118 $12,349 +$231 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $66 −$36 -54%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $1,375 +$86 +6%
Libema Open (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $791 −$336 -42%
ITF Guimaraes: Ariana Arseneault vs Katarina Kuzmova Jun 12 $148 −$6 -4%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $10,279 −$766 -8%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard Jun 12 $7 +$6 +82%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Oleksii Krutykh vs Pedro Sakamoto Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $353 +$121 +34%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $12,125 +$17,851 +147%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $27 +$4 +14%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $4,099 +$833 +20%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $9,471 −$3,115 -33%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $20,454 −$4,521 -22%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $2,036 +$4,731 +232%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% +$10,590
sports 46% +$41,493
world 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 43¢ $45 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $1 0m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 BUY Under 89¢ $2,073 0m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 17¢ $14 1m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 54¢ $66 1m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 61¢ $248 1m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 61¢ $31 1m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 52¢ $5 1m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 78¢ $2,262 2m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 53¢ $2 2m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 49¢ $30 2m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 51¢ $51 2m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 51¢ $5 2m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 52¢ $26 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $12 2m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $117 2m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 42¢ $3 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 49¢ $2 3m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $8 3m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 40¢ $204 3m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 54¢ $12 3m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 54¢ $139 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 47¢ $203 3m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $580 3m
Belgium leading at halftime? BUY Yes 43¢ $28 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $2 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $1 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $2 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Under $2 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +30.3% +17.9% 60% 53% +12.4%
≤30d 15 +30.3% +17.9% 60% 53% +12.4%
≤90d 15 +30.3% +17.9% 60% 53% +12.4%
all 15 +30.3% +17.9% 60% 53% +12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3427.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.9% 53% +12.4%
10% +6.6% 40% +1.7%
15% ← realistic here -3.7% 27% -8.2%
20% -13.1% 27% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,444,370.94 · official $1,495,417.16 · 3500 history records