Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x204f…0026
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$49 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses94 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)143 / 143
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day202.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$49
7 days+$49
14 days+$49
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$6 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$65 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$25 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$20 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$26 +116%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$12 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$10 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$23 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$11 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$23 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$8 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$15 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$20 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$29 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$16 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$19 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$19 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$69
other 1% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $23 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 58% -7.8%
≤30d 143 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 58% -7.8%
≤90d 143 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 58% -7.8%
all 143 -1.3% -10.7% 66% 58% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover202.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 58% -7.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 44% -16.6%
15% -27.1% 31% -24.7%
20% -34.2% 20% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 330 history records