trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 30% | 10% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 30% | 10% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 30% | 10% | -9.5% |
| all | 29 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 52% | 21% | -1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.4% | 21% | -1.3% |
| 10% | -5.6% | 10% | -10.8% |
| 15% | -14.7% | 10% | -19.4% |
| 20% | -23.1% | 7% | -27.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 14 | $9 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $49 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $16 | −$2 | -10% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $27 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or | Mar 19 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| VCU vs. Duquesne | Mar 06 | $21 | +$45 | +214% |
| Holy Cross vs. Lafayette | Mar 06 | $38 | +$14 | +37% |
| Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $40 | +$3 | +6% |
| Sharks vs. Sabres | Mar 03 | $51 | −$2 | -3% |
| Albany vs. Vermont | Mar 03 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $48 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 55°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Mar 03 | $87 | −$26 | -30% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on March 3? | Mar 03 | $22 | −$5 | -23% |
| Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 03 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Idaho vs. Montana State | Mar 03 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Georgia vs. South Carolina | Mar 03 | $51 | +$7 | +13% |
| Warriors vs. Knicks | Mar 03 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| SE Missouri State vs. Eastern Illinois | Mar 03 | $16 | +$37 | +223% |