trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 33% | 33% | -5.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 36% | 9% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -1.0% | -10.5% | 36% | 9% | -9.3% |
| all | 24 | -4.1% | -13.3% | 54% | 4% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 4% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $9 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $30 | +$5 | +17% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $60 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 11 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 09 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 09 | $11 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 28 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Jun 04 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Karoline Leavitt be out as White House Press Secretary in Trump's | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Kentucky win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | +0% |