Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:10:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x200b…dc4a
crypto · 384 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$40 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses276 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)384 / 384
History coverage52d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 384 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$41
14 days+$44
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 +8.1% -2.2% 91% 12% -5.3%
≤30d 381 +7.1% -3.1% 72% 23% -7.8%
≤90d 384 +6.5% -3.6% 72% 22% -8.0%
all 384 +6.5% -3.6% 72% 22% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.6% 22% -8.0%
10% -12.8% 18% -16.8%
15% -21.3% 15% -24.9%
20% -29.0% 13% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 802 history records