Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1ffd…1e7c
crypto · 266 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$134
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$10
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses152 / 111
Open positions3
Markets (closed)263 / 266
History coverage73d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14? No 78¢ 88¢ $69 $79 +$9 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? No 97¢ 100¢ $45 $46 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 55¢ 49¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $19 −$8 -45%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? Jun 14 $121 +$28 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? Jun 14 $33 −$12 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $44 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $60 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 14 $40 +$2 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $20 +$4 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 14 $20 +$3 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 14? Jun 14 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 13 $40 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 13 $63 +$10 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $40 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$5 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$7 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $60 +$11 +17%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$33 +111%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $18 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 3? Apr 09 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 09 $20 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Apr 09 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 09 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Apr 09 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 09 $119 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 09 $5 −$4 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 09 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 09 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 09 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 09 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Apr 09 $10 +$4 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$131
weather 31% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 33¢ $2 2m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 35¢ $5 2m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 35¢ $2 2m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? SELL Yes 44¢ $1 8m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $96 8m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? SELL No 41¢ $3 10m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? SELL No 41¢ $1 10m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? SELL No 42¢ $17 14m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $53 14m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 66¢ $10 32m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 66¢ $19 33m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 66¢ $3 35m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 79¢ $20 37m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 61¢ $19 40m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 71¢ $20 42m
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 70¢ $20 57m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 88¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 88¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 87¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $39 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14? BUY Yes 87¢ $44 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $62 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY No 55¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 81¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 80¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +5.1% -5.0% 92% 32% -5.6%
≤30d 38 +5.1% -5.0% 92% 32% -5.6%
≤90d 263 -6.4% -15.3% 58% 44% -11.0%
all 263 -6.4% -15.3% 58% 44% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 44% -11.0%
10% -23.4% 36% -19.5%
15% -30.8% 32% -27.3%
20% -37.6% 23% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $133.97 · official $133.97 (match) · 910 history records