Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1fe8…72bc
sports · 100 markets active 0h ago
9.5score
+$6,217 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,480 · open +$736
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,423
Realized+$5,480
Unrealized+$736
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses61 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$275
Open positions3
Markets (closed)97 / 100
History coverage35d
Avg bet$252
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 97 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,784
7 days+$5,476
14 days+$5,476
30 days+$5,476
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 54¢ 100¢ $1,100 $2,018 +$918 (+83%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 49¢ 34¢ $584 $402 −$182 (-31%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Tamara Korpatsch 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Lukas Pokorny 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Alexander Vasilev 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Luca Nardi 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 53¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Dalibor Svrcina 74¢ 0¢ $379 $0 −$379 (-100%)
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Clement Chidekh 34¢ 0¢ $173 $0 −$173 (-100%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Alice Tubello 12¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 51¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 24¢ 0¢ $563 $0 −$563 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 78¢ 0¢ $576 $0 −$576 (-100%)
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Segundo Goity Zapico 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 40¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Xinyu Gao 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Franco Agamenone 34¢ 0¢ $340 $0 −$340 (-100%)
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Luca Van Assche 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $1 −$1 -60%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $476 +$24 +5%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $165 +$35 +21%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $204 +$296 +146%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $944 −$142 -15%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $89 −$82 -92%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $416 −$408 -98%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $438 +$752 +172%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $13 +$3 +21%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $580 −$576 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $218 −$215 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $200 +$119 +59%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1 $0 +83%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $383 +$757 +198%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $83 −$82 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $24 +$6 +26%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $537 +$463 +86%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $361 +$225 +62%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $24 −$24 -99%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $578 +$440 +76%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $508 +$492 +97%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $836 +$352 +42%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $20 −$19 -99%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $18 +$7 +36%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $68 +$13 +18%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $15 −$10 -68%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $37 +$14 +37%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $4 +$4 +124%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $29 −$7 -24%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $168 +$332 +197%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $97 +$30 +31%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $5 +$4 +76%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $643 −$616 -96%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $889 −$547 -62%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $2 +$3 +134%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $304 +$196 +65%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $152 +$450 +297%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $4 −$4 -94%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $347 −$340 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $8 −$3 -34%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $14 +$21 +148%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $10 +$5 +58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$5,113
crypto 4% +$781
other 3% +$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 51¢ $517 0m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 13¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 91¢ $0 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 58¢ $0 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 56¢ $567 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 53¢ $548 1h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 92¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 82¢ $165 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 16¢ $49 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 52¢ $423 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 15¢ $152 3h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 30¢ $368 3h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 97¢ $10 3h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 95¢ $476 3h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 40¢ $204 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 8¢ $82 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 36¢ $367 3h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 91¢ $6 4h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 78¢ $580 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 51¢ $264 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 25¢ $174 4h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 53¢ $218 4h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 31¢ $2 4h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 61¢ $7 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 35¢ $4 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 53¢ $3 5h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 12h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 62¢ $200 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 40¢ $42 17h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $42 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 +15.1% +4.1% 62% 56% +11.6%
≤30d 94 +15.1% +4.1% 62% 56% +11.6%
≤90d 97 +14.9% +3.9% 63% 56% +11.6%
all 97 +14.9% +3.9% 63% 56% +11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.9% 56% +11.6%
10% -6.0% 49% +1.0%
15% -15.1% 44% -8.8%
20% -23.4% 34% -17.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,422.54 · official $2,421.70 (match) · 238 history records