trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 83% | 67% | +14.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 64% | 45% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 69% | 54% | +8.5% |
| all | 23 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 57% | 48% | -16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.4% | 48% | -16.2% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 43% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 35% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 35% | -38.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 75¢ | 90¢ | $464 | $553 | +$90 (+19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $29 | −$5 | -16% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $204 | +$56 | +27% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $340 | +$182 | +54% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $326 | +$74 | +23% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 16 | $162 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | Jun 16 | $426 | +$81 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | May 25 | $101 | −$98 | -97% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | May 19 | $37 | +$23 | +62% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | May 19 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 19 | $112 | +$4 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | May 19 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | May 18 | $61 | +$46 | +75% |
| Blackhawks vs. Rangers | Mar 29 | $150 | +$96 | +64% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Mar 12 | $506 | −$506 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | Mar 12 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 01 | $194 | +$186 | +96% |
| Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during the State of the Union address? | Feb 26 | $61 | +$39 | +64% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union ad | Feb 26 | $321 | +$229 | +71% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow? | Feb 25 | $25 | +$65 | +257% |
| Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? | Feb 09 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 09 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Jan 31 | $425 | −$425 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Jan 31 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |