Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1fcc…643f
crypto · 1660 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,416 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,415 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,415
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses591 / 1067
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1658 / 1660
History coverage87d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 1658 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$165
14 days−$53
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $85 +$30 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $60 +$55 +92%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $71 −$11 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$69 +139%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $99 −$28 -29%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $1 $0 +0%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $92 −$84 -92%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $99 −$33 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $49 −$10 -20%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan Jun 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Bhuvneshwar Kumar win the 2026 IPL purple cap? Jun 05 $31 −$31 -100%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh Jun 05 $99 −$99 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 05 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $50 −$50 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 03 $121 +$106 +88%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $16 −$2 -12%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 02 $70 +$56 +79%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $51 +$222 +435%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands May 30 $30 −$30 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 30 $21 −$21 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $102 +$102 +101%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $52 −$3 -5%
T20 Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand May 26 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 26 $24 −$24 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $61 +$47 +78%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $21 +$101 +482%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 25 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 24 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 24 $17 −$17 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 24 $54 −$54 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $47 +$52 +110%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $59 +$58 +98%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 23 $10 +$15 +147%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 23 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET May 22 $18 −$18 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 22 $81 −$81 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? May 22 $71 +$145 +205%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland May 22 $15 +$15 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$1,378
sports 16% −$230
other 6% +$240
politics 1% −$17
world 0% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 92¢ $115 48m
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 66¢ $85 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $116 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $60 18h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $60 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $28 19h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 BUY 3¢ $19 21h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $71 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $119 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $50 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 45h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $70 2d
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $99 2d
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $47 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $7 6d
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan SELL Glamorgan 5¢ $8 6d
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan BUY Glamorgan 60¢ $92 6d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $66 7d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $99 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $40 7d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? SELL No 22¢ $39 7d
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 25¢ $49 7d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $16 7d
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $35 7d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 52¢ $198 8d
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka SELL West Indies 51¢ $29 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -44.6% -49.9% 20% 20% -32.3%
≤30d 100 -27.8% -34.7% 28% 28% -14.1%
≤90d 1658 -5.6% -14.6% 36% 35% -14.9%
all 1658 -5.6% -14.6% 36% 35% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 35% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 35% -23.1%
15% -30.3% 35% -30.5%
20% -37.1% 34% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $18.00 · 3500 history records