Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:43:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1fc0…2940
other · 26 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$74 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses8 / 16
Open positions2
Markets (closed)24 / 26
History coverage124d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 2 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-02-21? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-02-22? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia Czechia 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden Sweden 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-03-14? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada Czechia 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-11? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-02-22? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18? Apr 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? Apr 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $10 +$11 +106%
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $10 +$15 +154%
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-11? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-03-14? Mar 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04? Mar 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25? Feb 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-02-22? Feb 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-02-22? Feb 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 +$11 +113%
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-02-21? Feb 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany Feb 20 $10 +$11 +115%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21? Feb 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14? Feb 17 $10 +$5 +49%
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-02-14? Feb 17 $20 +$10 +50%
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-14? Feb 17 $20 +$21 +106%
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? Feb 14 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Feb 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden Feb 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia Feb 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada Feb 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$36
sports 18% −$29
world 7% −$4
crypto 2% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-18? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 56d
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16? BUY Yes 29¢ $10 60d
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 65d
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 65d
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-11? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 65d
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09? BUY Yes 45¢ $10 65d
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-03-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 91d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 101d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 108d
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 108d
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 111d
Will FC Baník Ostrava win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 111d
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-02-21? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 111d
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-02-21? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 111d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21? BUY Yes 39¢ $10 115d
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany BUY Slovakia 47¢ $10 115d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 121d
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 123d
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 123d
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-02-14? BUY Yes 66¢ $20 123d
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $20 123d
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Sweden BUY Sweden 64¢ $20 123d
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Czechia BUY Czechia 63¢ $10 123d
Men's Group A - Czechia vs. Canada BUY Czechia 18¢ $10 123d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-41.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 6 -23.4% -30.7% 33% 33% -30.2%
all 24 -35.4% -41.5% 33% 33% -34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.5% 33% -34.8%
10% -47.1% 33% -41.0%
15% -52.2% 33% -46.7%
20% -56.9% 29% -51.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.82 · official $19.83 (match) · 34 history records