Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1faa…ad8a
crypto · 305 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$82 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open −$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$500
Realized+$20
Unrealized−$102
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses70 / 541
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)611 / 305
History coverage1d
Avg bet$500
Trades / day2748.8
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 50¢ 70¢ $250 $352 +$102 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 50¢ 30¢ $250 $148 −$102 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$563
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-48.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 611 -42.8% -48.2% 11% 1% -10.0%
≤30d 611 -42.8% -48.2% 11% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 611 -42.8% -48.2% 11% 1% -10.0%
all 611 -42.8% -48.2% 11% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2748.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.2% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -53.2% 1% -18.6%
15% -57.7% 1% -26.4%
20% -61.8% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $500.00 · official $500.00 (match) · 3500 history records