Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:10:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f90…38e7
crypto · 919 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$4,393 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,385 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$766
Realized−$4,385
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses546 / 371
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)917 / 919
History coverage590d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 917 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$70
7 days−$70
14 days−$70
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $700 $694 −$6 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $73 $72 −$1 (-2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Solana dip to $110 in January? No 92¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$31 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$22 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$5 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$21 +41%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $99 −$97 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 04 $224 −$216 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3? May 04 $572 +$210 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Apr 20 $1,009 −$1,009 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Apr 20 $437 −$437 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Apr 20 $100 −$97 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Apr 20 $250 +$250 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 20 $212 −$212 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Apr 20 $258 −$249 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 20 $110 −$110 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Apr 20 $20 +$7 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Apr 20 $60 −$58 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Apr 20 $40 −$39 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Apr 20 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Apr 20 $15 +$9 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 20 $70 +$77 +109%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 20 $30 +$10 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 20 $50 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 20 $70 +$10 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 20 $15 +$14 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$975
politics 20% −$1,043
sports 4% −$1,291
other 3% −$417
world 1% −$722
weather 1% +$2
culture 0% +$51
finance 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 12m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $11 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $17 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $14 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -32.0% -38.5% 42% 39% -22.4%
≤30d 31 -32.0% -38.5% 42% 39% -22.4%
≤90d 326 +2.1% -7.6% 60% 56% -21.5%
all 917 -2.4% -11.7% 60% 51% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 51% -13.8%
10% -20.1% 44% -22.0%
15% -27.8% 37% -29.6%
20% -34.9% 32% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $765.57 · official $765.57 (match) · 2989 history records