Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f87…6f94
other · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$69 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses17 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)250 / 251
History coverage124d
Avg bet$185
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 1 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$15
14 days−$26
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $174 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $429 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $280 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $273 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $249 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $346 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $103 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $102 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $373 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $161 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $301 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $255 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $108 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $111 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $52 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $451 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $187 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 10 $385 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $348 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $347 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $428 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $199 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $170 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $260 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $421 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $357 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $241 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $122 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $482 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $597 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $765 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 06 $154 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $180 −$1 -1%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $252 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $118 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $68 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $564 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $116 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $631 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $264 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $357 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $442 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 01 $192 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $61 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $294 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $58 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $373 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $293 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$39
sports 22% −$19
politics 9% −$5
culture 6% −$6
crypto 5% −$4
economics 5% −$4
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 23m
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $50 2h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $50 5h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $50 6h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 96¢ $21 9h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $29 10h
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $50 11h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 96¢ $50 19h
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 96¢ $50 20h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 97¢ $50 22h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 97¢ $50 23h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 26h
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 27h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $50 28h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $50 30h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 34h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 35h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $51 38h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $51 40h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 2d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 2d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $51 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $51 2d
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $51 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 79 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 197 -0.2% -9.7% 6% 0% -9.7%
all 250 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.60 · official $49.60 (match) · 1302 history records