Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:15:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1F 0x1f82…d081 crypto 1553 markets active 7d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (355 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$559 (-5%) realized −$559 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate78%1215W / 337L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day355.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (355 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -70.8% -73.5% 25% 18% -72.9%
≤30d 1552 -1.5% -10.9% 78% 48% -10.9%
≤90d 1552 -1.5% -10.9% 78% 48% -10.9%
all 1552 -1.5% -10.9% 78% 48% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover355.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 48% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 34% -19.4%
15% -27.2% 19% -27.2%
20% -34.3% 8% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
36% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$7 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$559
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1215 / 337
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1552 / 1553
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day355.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1552 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -90%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records