Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:00:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f7e…94f7
crypto · 330 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$57 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses164 / 166
Open positions0
Markets (closed)330 / 330
History coverage24d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day37.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$83
14 days+$10
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -7.5% -16.3% 46% 46% -2.1%
≤30d 330 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -9.0%
≤90d 330 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -9.0%
all 330 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 50% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 50% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 49% -17.7%
15% -26.1% 49% -25.7%
20% -33.4% 49% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 985 history records