trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -59.5% | -63.3% | 25% | 25% | -70.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +72.1% | +55.7% | 67% | 33% | -41.1% |
| all | 18 | +60.4% | +45.1% | 72% | 28% | -38.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.1% | 28% | -38.1% |
| 10% | +31.2% | 22% | -44.0% |
| 15% | +18.6% | 22% | -49.5% |
| 20% | +6.9% | 17% | -54.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $88 | $88 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres | Jun 10 | $75 | +$47 | +62% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta | May 29 | $96 | −$95 | -99% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | May 23 | $78 | −$77 | -99% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | May 16 | $67 | +$76 | +114% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 15 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 35°F or below on March 13? | May 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 15 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 40% by March 31? | May 15 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | May 15 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | May 15 | $2 | +$23 | +1329% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | May 15 | $72 | +$5 | +8% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 07 | $82 | −$81 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 07 | $55 | +$26 | +48% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 29 | $84 | −$82 | -98% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? | Feb 04 | $25 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 04 | $26 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? | Jan 07 | $26 | $0 | +1% |