Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f65…38bf
sports · 1248 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$222 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$231 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$147
Realized−$231
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses660 / 574
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions14
Markets (closed)1234 / 1248
History coverage84d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day20.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 14 History 1234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$127
7 days−$138
14 days−$44
30 days+$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 82¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 79¢ 97¢ $11 $14 +$2 (+22%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 83¢ 96¢ $12 $13 +$2 (+16%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 54¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+2%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 85¢ 84¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-2%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 63¢ 98¢ $8 $13 +$5 (+56%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 69¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 60¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ 58¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 42¢ 44¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 38¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 76¢ 76¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Minnesota Twins 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets St. Louis Cardinals 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 67¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $11 +$4 +42%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $1 +$1 +75%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 +$5 +57%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $9 −$9 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 11 $25 −$10 -41%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $9 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9 +$6 +76%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $8 +$7 +97%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $10 +$7 +65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $9 +$8 +97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $24 +$4 +18%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $6 +$9 +165%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $7 +$10 +134%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $7 +$7 +97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $8 +$9 +105%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $9 +$8 +93%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $8 +$9 +101%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 09 $21 −$21 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 09 $10 +$3 +32%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $10 +$7 +70%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Jun 09 $6 +$5 +83%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $9 +$6 +60%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $7 +$8 +114%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $16 +$12 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$185
other 4% −$54
world 1% +$40
politics 1% +$6
culture 0% −$33
tech 0% −$6
crypto 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $9 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $10 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ $9 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 83¢ $14 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $7 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 67¢ $12 9h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 42¢ $7 23h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $8 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 49¢ $8 25h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 57¢ $1 25h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 83¢ $12 30h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 67¢ $9 30h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 42¢ $7 30h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 41¢ $7 30h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ $7 30h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $14 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $9 31h
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 60¢ $10 2d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 51¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $10 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $9 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $8 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $11 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 50¢ $9 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 50¢ $9 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 53¢ $9 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -17.6% -25.4% 46% 46% -23.4%
≤30d 260 +0.0% -9.5% 53% 53% -7.4%
≤90d 1234 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 53% -11.4%
all 1234 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 53% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 53% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 49% -19.8%
15% -28.4% 42% -27.6%
20% -35.5% 36% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $147.13 · official $147.16 (match) · 2717 history records