Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:28:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f54…edd3
crypto · 1460 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$596 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$605 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$605
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses864 / 594
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1458 / 1460
History coverage39d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$311
7 days−$290
14 days−$290
30 days−$290
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 0¢ 72¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 0¢ 72¢ $0 $4 +$4 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$596
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 697 -10.6% -19.1% 65% 64% -19.3%
≤30d 697 -10.6% -19.1% 65% 64% -19.3%
≤90d 1458 -7.7% -16.5% 59% 59% -18.3%
all 1458 -7.7% -16.5% 59% 59% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 59% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 51% -26.1%
15% -31.8% 40% -33.3%
20% -38.5% 17% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.64 · official $6.36 · 3500 history records