Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f2d…d0cf
politics · 9 markets active 596d ago
0.0score
+$28,954,736 +785%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28,954,736 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$28,954,736
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses9 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage8d
Avg bet$409,944
Trades / day459.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 15 $28,679 +$87,412 +305%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Nov 12 $286,563 +$653,831 +228%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $402,295 +$5,071,322 +1261%
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? Nov 08 $29,000 +$989,561 +3412%
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 07 $37,341 +$553,772 +1483%
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? Nov 07 $39,269 +$651,453 +1659%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? Nov 07 $75,982 +$1,031,724 +1358%
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? Nov 06 $5,800 +$1,467,561 +25303%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $2,784,566 +$18,448,101 +662%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$28,954,736
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $3 596d
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 60¢ $29,950 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $2 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $2 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $2 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $3 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $2 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY No 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 596d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+1091.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 9 +1217.3% +1091.9% 100% 100% +657.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover459.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1091.9% 100% +657.3%
10% +977.8% 100% +584.9%
15% ← realistic here +873.7% 100% +518.7%
20% +778.2% 100% +458.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records