Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f29…87bf
crypto · 171 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses149 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)171 / 171
History coverage12d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$0
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 37% -9.7%
≤30d 171 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 30% -10.9%
≤90d 171 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 30% -10.9%
all 171 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 30% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.9% 30% -10.9%
10% -20.3% 10% -19.5%
15% -28.0% 3% -27.2%
20% -35.1% 1% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 375 history records