Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f19…f57a
crypto · 126 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$228 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$207 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$127
Realized+$207
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses69 / 56
Open positions1
Markets (closed)125 / 126
History coverage1d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day3375.0
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$207
7 days+$207
14 days+$207
30 days+$207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 55¢ 22¢ $166 $64 −$102 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 52¢ 78¢ $42 $63 +$21 (+50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $478 −$78 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$29 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$57 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $510 +$50 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $610 −$50 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $460 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$40 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $490 +$30 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $392 +$88 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $379 +$61 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$26 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $284 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$12 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $111 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $223 +$27 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $256 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $216 −$46 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $290 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$15 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $135 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$14 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $17 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $17 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 +2.5% -7.2% 55% 25% -8.2%
≤30d 125 +2.5% -7.2% 55% 25% -8.2%
≤90d 125 +2.5% -7.2% 55% 25% -8.2%
all 125 +2.5% -7.2% 55% 25% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3375.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 25% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 5% -17.0%
15% -24.2% 2% -25.0%
20% -31.6% 1% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $127.30 · official $144.90 · 3500 history records