Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:13:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1F
0x1f11…72ab
sports · 20 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$503 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$503 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$503
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses11 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage4d
Avg bet$491
Trades / day46.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$667
7 days−$503
14 days−$503
30 days−$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 25¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $145 −$55 -38%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $103 +$7 +7%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $42 +$16 +38%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $169 −$11 -7%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $173 −$48 -28%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $181 −$11 -6%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $111 +$21 +19%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2,518 −$542 -22%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $516 +$10 +2%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1,266 −$355 -28%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 12 $1,217 +$20 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $923 +$57 +6%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $244 −$40 -16%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 11 $131 +$37 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $685 −$174 -26%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 11 $75 −$15 -20%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $899 +$417 +46%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $370 +$125 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $53 +$36 +68%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $9 +$3 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$503
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 25¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 25¢ $11 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova $15 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 36¢ $7 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 31¢ $48 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 65¢ $20 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 65¢ $13 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 65¢ $22 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 86¢ $73 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt SELL Alex Bolt 99¢ $58 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 71¢ $42 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $57 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 88¢ $51 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 72¢ $52 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 70¢ $52 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 99¢ $49 19h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 77¢ $38 19h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 43¢ $37 19h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $39 19h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 80¢ $32 19h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 74¢ $72 20h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 56¢ $4 20h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 61¢ $56 21h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $59 21h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $40 22h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $39 22h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 59¢ $70 22h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 61¢ $72 22h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $71 22h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 99¢ $70 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 35% -13.9%
≤30d 20 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 35% -13.9%
≤90d 20 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 35% -13.9%
all 20 +1.7% -8.0% 55% 35% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.0% 35% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.8% 30% -22.1%
15% -24.8% 20% -29.6%
20% -32.2% 5% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 192 history records