Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:06:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
1F 0x1f10…94c7 other 873 markets active 1h ago coverage 90d
TRAPdo not copy Fading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$20 (+0%) realized +$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate100%870W / 3L
Drawdown25%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day9.8pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit48%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$2
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 51% +$8
sports 46% +$5
world 1% +$1
crypto 1% +$5
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
weather 0% $0
politics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 235 +0.3% -9.3% 100% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 873 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.1%
all 873 +0.2% -9.3% 100% 1% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 1% -9.1%
10% -18.0% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.18 per $1 lost it wins $4.18
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

90d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses870 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)873 / 873
History coverage90d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit48%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 873 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Poertner vs. Barsukov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dplus (-2.5) vs So:sweet (+2.5) Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Padula vs. Jamshidi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Tepmahc vs. Kamboj: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Adams vs. Isaacs: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Ifi vs. Efstathiou: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Photiades vs Inchauspe Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Parma (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Jecan/Pavel Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Duhan vs. Vaccari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Popa vs. Biro: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Bjork vs. Skoog: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Bjork vs. Skoog: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Kuparev vs. Grignac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Kumasaka vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Dell'elba vs. Coman: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Chiesa vs. Tsygourova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Sagandikova vs. Ivanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Nedic vs. Mohar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Subasic vs. Casas: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots on target Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Romano Schmid: 1+ assists Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Nugroho vs. Ren: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Matsumoto vs. Aikawa: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Shimizu vs. Hanatani: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots on target Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Kinard vs. Negishi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Reid Detmers: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $4 $0 +0%
Brandon Young: Strikeouts O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Trevor Larnach: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
Marcus Thuram: 2+ assists Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Vilar vs Adkar Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Straszewska vs. Wawrzkiewicz: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+3 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Bekeni vs. Daskalovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Chiripal vs Yoruk Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Set Handicap: Guilleme (-1.5) vs Ciavarella (+1.5) Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Rispoli vs. Ortenzi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Ryan Thomas: 1+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Mehdi Taremi: 5+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Chris Wood: 1+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Salem Al Dawsari: 1+ shots Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Josh Bell: Home Runs O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Manuel Ugarte: 3+ goals + assists Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Ziyad Al Johani: 1+ shots on target Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
Leandro Trossard: 3+ shots on target Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Poertner vs. Barsukov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 1h
Padula vs. Jamshidi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dplus (-2.5) vs So:sweet (+2.5) BUY Dplus 100¢ $5 2h
Tepmahc vs. Kamboj: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 2h
Adams vs. Isaacs: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 2h
Ifi vs. Efstathiou: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 2h
Parma (Doubles): Jung/Uesugi vs Jecan/Pavel BUY Jung/Uesugi 100¢ $5 3h
Set 1 Winner: Photiades vs Inchauspe BUY Inchauspe 100¢ $5 3h
Popa vs. Biro: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 3h
Duhan vs. Vaccari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 3h
Bjork vs. Skoog: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 4h
Bjork vs. Skoog: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 4h
Kuparev vs. Grignac: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 4h
Dell'elba vs. Coman: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 5h
Kumasaka vs. Mochizuki: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 5h
Chiesa vs. Tsygourova: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 5h
Nedic vs. Mohar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Sagandikova vs. Ivanovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 6h
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Subasic vs. Casas: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 6h
Romano Schmid: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 8h
Nugroho vs. Ren: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 9h
Matsumoto vs. Aikawa: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 9h
Shimizu vs. Hanatani: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 9h
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shots BUY No 97¢ $5 9h
Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $5 9h
Kinard vs. Negishi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 10h
Reid Detmers: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2034 history records