trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -7.9% | -16.7% | 0% | 0% | -14.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 20% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 19 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 47% | 32% | +43.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 32% | +43.8% |
| 10% | -6.2% | 32% | +30.0% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 32% | +17.5% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 32% | +6.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$3 | -53% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 11 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 10 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 27 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 07 | $22 | +$1 | +3% |
| Capitals vs. Flyers | Mar 12 | $114 | +$136 | +120% |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | Mar 08 | $59 | +$52 | +89% |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Feb 27 | $98 | +$74 | +75% |
| Bradley Braves vs. Southern Illinois Salukis | Feb 19 | $68 | +$58 | +85% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 01 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Rangers vs. Kings | Jan 25 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Predators | Jan 10 | $37 | +$33 | +89% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Jan 03 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Ravens vs. Bengals | Dec 31 | $47 | +$32 | +70% |