Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:44:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ef6…1174
weather · 1608 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$263 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$252 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$252
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1262 / 318
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions28
Markets (closed)1580 / 1608
History coverage72d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day45.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 28 History 1580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$62
14 days−$70
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners Over 55¢ 47¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 13? No 97¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $37 −$36 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 57% −$82
crypto 21% −$94
other 14% −$62
politics 3% +$9
sports 2% −$26
culture 2% −$6
tech 0% −$1
world 0% +$1
finance 0% −$2
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $9 6m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 21m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 33m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June SELL No 90¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 83¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 38¢ $36 4h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 7% -26.0%
≤30d 1217 -1.9% -11.2% 85% 10% -14.7%
≤90d 1580 -3.9% -13.0% 80% 14% -17.1%
all 1580 -3.9% -13.0% 80% 14% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 14% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 8% -25.1%
15% -28.9% 4% -32.3%
20% -35.9% 2% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.67 · official $33.67 (match) · 3500 history records