Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:59:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1eeb…8982 crypto 563 markets active 7d ago coverage 14d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$13 (-0%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate74%417W / 146L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day69.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$36
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$68
sports 1% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -16.6% -24.5% 78% 0% -22.9%
≤30d 563 -4.1% -13.3% 74% 41% -11.8%
≤90d 563 -4.1% -13.3% 74% 41% -11.8%
all 563 -4.1% -13.3% 74% 41% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 41% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 15% -20.2%
15% -29.1% 4% -27.9%
20% -36.1% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses417 / 146
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)563 / 563
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day69.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 563 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1231 history records