trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 60% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 13 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 38% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.3% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -21.6% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -29.2% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -36.1% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $104 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | Apr 28 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Apr 28 | $383 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 09 | $10 | −$4 | -38% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 04 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 03 | $11 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 01 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 01 | $13 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 26 | $16 | $0 | -0% |