Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:12:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1ee9…14b1 crypto 938 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (102 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$263 (+0%) realized +$263 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%918W / 63L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day101.6pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 25d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 91% −$277
other 9% −$723
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (102 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 -21.3% -28.8% 78% 0% -17.6%
≤30d 981 -5.0% -14.0% 94% 0% -12.1%
≤90d 981 -5.0% -14.0% 94% 0% -12.1%
all 981 -5.0% -14.0% 94% 0% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 0% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 0% -20.5%
15% -29.8% 0% -28.2%
20% -36.7% 0% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$51 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.3 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized+$263
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses918 / 63
Open positions1
Markets (closed)981 / 938
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$83
Trades / day101.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 981 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 82¢ 74¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 59 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $38 −$38 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET Jun 17 $131 −$131 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET Jun 17 $386 −$386 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 12PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $35 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $35 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $35 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $35 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $133 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $34 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $34 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $35 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $94 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.70 · official $3.70 (match) · 3500 history records