Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:49:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
1E 0x1ee0…4f92 crypto 20 markets active 1d ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%20W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day0.9pace
Kalshi-fit85%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% $0
other 14% $0
weather 6% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 20 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 20 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 20 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses20 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage23d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit85%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 20 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 13? Jun 13 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? Jun 12 $24 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 10? Jun 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? Jun 06 $20 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $13 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2? Jun 02 $22 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? May 30 $22 $0 +0%
Will Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Sto May 30 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? May 28 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? May 26 $27 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $19 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26? May 25 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? May 24 $23 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? May 23 $29 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $22 33h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $17 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $17 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $24 3d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $12 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? BUY Yes 100¢ $22 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $20 10d
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $22 11d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $22 14d
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 14d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $18 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? BUY No 100¢ $17 15d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $22 17d
Will Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Sto BUY No 100¢ $6 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $20 19d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $27 21d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $23 22d
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $19 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $23 23d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 40 history records