Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:53:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eda…226b
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$0
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco (7) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Will Colombia (13) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Senegal (15) be the highest-ranked team eliminated in the 2026 FI Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11? Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% −$1
crypto 19% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.8% -10.2% 0% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 3 -0.8% -10.2% 0% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 3 -0.8% -10.2% 0% 0% -10.2%
all 3 -0.8% -10.2% 0% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -10.2%
10% -18.8% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.40 · official $2.40 (match) · 19 history records