trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 67% | 67% | +3.0% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 57% | 57% | -3.2% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 57% | 57% | -3.2% |
| all | 27 | +8.6% | -1.7% | 59% | 59% | +2.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.7% | 59% | +2.0% |
| 10% | -11.1% | 59% | -7.8% |
| 15% | -19.7% | 44% | -16.7% |
| 20% | -27.6% | 37% | -24.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 15? | Yes | 29¢ | 24¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? | Jun 14 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury | Jun 14 | $9 | +$7 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 8? | Jun 11 | $8 | +$2 | +32% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 8? | Jun 09 | $9 | +$8 | +82% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 7? | Jun 08 | $4 | +$5 | +137% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5? | Jun 08 | $9 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6? | Jun 07 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 6? | Jun 07 | $3 | +$5 | +160% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 2? | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1? | Jun 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 2? | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics | Jun 05 | $7 | +$7 | +95% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? | Jun 01 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty | May 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 30 | $7 | +$3 | +42% |
| World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia | May 29 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28? | May 29 | $4 | +$5 | +121% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 26? | May 27 | $9 | +$3 | +28% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26? | May 27 | $6 | +$9 | +137% |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers | May 25 | $5 | +$5 | +117% |
| Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State | Nov 18 | $5 | +$6 | +133% |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes | Nov 15 | $9 | +$4 | +41% |
| Flames vs. Wild | Nov 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Predators | Nov 09 | $13 | +$9 | +67% |