Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1ed8…221a
crypto · 949 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$262 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,282 · open −$527
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,317
Realized−$1,282
Unrealized−$527
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses522 / 425
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)947 / 949
History coverage55d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day45.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 947 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days−$20,380
14 days−$20,019
30 days−$18,763
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Up 61¢ 56¢ $6,190 $5,630 −$560 (-9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? No 26¢ 26¢ $2,653 $2,687 +$34 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+107%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $265 $0 −$265 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $204 +$110 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$72 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $314 +$202 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $157 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $205 +$36 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $523 +$469 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $279 −$265 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $175 −$169 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $145 −$139 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1,631 −$1,626 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,420 +$1,831 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $214 +$110 +51%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $5,711 −$5,711 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $743 −$740 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $11,361 +$6,680 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1,675 +$813 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,827
finance 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 33¢ $309 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 53¢ $475 51m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 53¢ $5 52m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 53¢ $18 53m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $88 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $177 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 32¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 31¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 51¢ $15 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 32¢ $332 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 53¢ $524 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 56¢ $552 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 56¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 29¢ $303 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 57¢ $570 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 27¢ $281 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 338 -88.6% -89.7% 3% 3% -52.7%
≤30d 409 -61.4% -65.1% 17% 15% -44.1%
≤90d 947 -0.0% -9.6% 55% 52% -12.8%
all 947 -0.0% -9.6% 55% 52% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover45.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 52% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 51% -21.2%
15% -26.1% 42% -28.8%
20% -33.4% 28% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,316.96 · official $8,316.81 (match) · 3248 history records