Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:05:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1eaf…9bf0
sports · 108 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61,649 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$79,775 · open −$18,553
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$305,797
Realized+$79,775
Unrealized−$18,553
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses44 / 35
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$4,165
Open positions54
Markets (closed)79 / 108
History coverage8d
Avg bet$6,297
Trades / day421.4
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 54 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42,194
7 days+$83,417
14 days+$79,775
30 days+$79,775
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 69¢ 100¢ $28,429 $40,738 +$12,309 (+43%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 89¢ $24,704 $24,673 −$30 (-0%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 84¢ $24,543 $24,505 −$38 (-0%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 95¢ $20,472 $20,371 −$101 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 82¢ 82¢ $19,500 $19,551 +$51 (+0%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 86¢ $18,303 $18,165 −$138 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 41¢ 80¢ $8,200 $15,900 +$7,700 (+94%)
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? No 87¢ 87¢ $13,721 $13,721 +$0 (+0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 48¢ 48¢ $9,600 $9,500 −$100 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $8,400 $8,300 −$100 (-1%)
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 91¢ $8,351 $8,158 −$194 (-2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 25¢ 19¢ $10,922 $8,089 −$2,833 (-26%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 38¢ $7,600 $7,500 −$100 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $6,650 $6,825 +$175 (+3%)
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 81¢ 97¢ $5,670 $6,790 +$1,120 (+20%)
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $6,830 $6,701 −$129 (-2%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 95¢ 95¢ $6,698 $6,647 −$50 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 45¢ 42¢ $6,750 $6,225 −$525 (-8%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $6,051 $6,141 +$90 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $5,298 $5,368 +$70 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 66¢ $4,126 $4,221 +$95 (+2%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 73¢ 72¢ $3,650 $3,575 −$75 (-2%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 34¢ $3,441 $3,526 +$85 (+2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 47¢ 54¢ $2,814 $3,234 +$419 (+15%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 42¢ 20¢ $6,599 $3,127 −$3,472 (-53%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 13 $230 −$230 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $4,800 −$4,800 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $180 −$180 -100%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutson Jun 13 $1,933 −$1,933 -100%
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic Jun 13 $2,243 −$2,243 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 13 $908 −$908 -100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 13 $590 −$590 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $6,900 −$6,900 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 13 $5,618 −$5,756 -102%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $4,300 −$4,300 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $27,540 +$15,418 +56%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $50,197 +$13,802 +28%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $34,395 +$174 +0%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $378 +$506 +134%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5,240 +$4,760 +91%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $207 +$108 +52%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1,263 +$1,737 +138%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $7,193 +$3,521 +49%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $97 +$154 +158%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20,116 +$33,502 +166%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $2,531 +$4,469 +177%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $334 +$262 +79%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $129 +$98 +76%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2,750 +$992 +36%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $3,310 +$1,350 +41%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 11 $1,320 −$1,320 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $5,586 +$2,238 +40%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12,800 −$12,800 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $2,953 −$2,950 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $18,140 +$4,343 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $1,030 −$1,015 -99%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 11 $325 −$322 -99%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $19,864 +$6,421 +32%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $356 +$227 +64%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $43 +$4 +10%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $372 −$367 -99%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $902 +$2,098 +233%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $141 +$96 +68%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $2,631 +$617 +24%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $6,148 +$3,852 +63%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $612 −$608 -99%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Andrej Martin Jun 10 $1,280 +$720 +56%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $498 −$490 -98%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9,521 +$479 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $731 +$1,097 +150%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $3,751 +$1,249 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% +$45,589
sports 46% +$40,057
crypto 3% +$3,704
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $66 0m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $23 1m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $5 1m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $23 2m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $23 2m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $5 3m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $5 3m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $164 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $9 4m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $6 5m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $45 5m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $12 6m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $911 7m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $173 7m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $5 8m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $50 8m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $569 8m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $23 11m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $13 12m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $82 12m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $27 12m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $18 13m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $14 14m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $13 15m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 16m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $12 19m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $9 20m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $55 20m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $9 21m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 82¢ $7 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 +25.3% +13.4% 57% 53% +11.0%
≤30d 79 +19.8% +8.4% 56% 52% +6.9%
≤90d 79 +19.8% +8.4% 56% 52% +6.9%
all 79 +19.8% +8.4% 56% 52% +6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover421.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.4% 52% +6.9%
10% -2.0% 49% -3.3%
15% ← realistic here -11.4% 42% -12.7%
20% -20.1% 33% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $305,797.19 · official $305,800.74 (match) · 3500 history records