Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1e96…e72a crypto 972 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (256 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$17,151 (+5%) realized +$17,151 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate92%898W / 73L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$387per market
Trades / day256.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 9d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6,072
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (256 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 789 +0.1% -9.4% 92% 15% -12.0%
≤30d 971 +1.3% -8.3% 92% 16% -11.0%
≤90d 971 +1.3% -8.3% 92% 16% -11.0%
all 971 +1.3% -8.3% 92% 16% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover256.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 16% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 9% -19.5%
15% -25.1% 6% -27.3%
20% -32.5% 4% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$214 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$17,151
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses898 / 73
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)971 / 972
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$387
Trades / day256.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 971 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $651 +$359 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $2,500 +$25 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $2,500 +$25 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,093 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $345 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $500 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $500 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $267 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $2,497 +$28 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $149 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $692 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $61 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1,050 +$10 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $383 +$5 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $509 +$15 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $106 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $36 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $1,100 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $316 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $112 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $442 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $198 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $107 +$6 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 16 $537 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $500 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $240 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $335 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $2,501 +$24 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$5 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $99 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $198 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $799 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $646 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $462 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $50 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,497 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,001 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $500 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $93 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.45 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records