trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -41.3% | -46.9% | 0% | 0% | -45.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 31% | 31% | -23.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 29% | 29% | -40.9% |
| all | 28 | -27.8% | -34.7% | 29% | 29% | -50.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.7% | 29% | -50.3% |
| 10% | -40.9% | 29% | -55.1% |
| 15% | -46.6% | 29% | -59.4% |
| 20% | -51.9% | 25% | -63.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $21 | −$10 | -47% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $33 | −$12 | -36% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $42 | −$42 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 11 | $65 | −$65 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $68 | −$26 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 09 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $20 | +$16 | +79% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027? | Jun 08 | $100 | +$120 | +120% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 04 | $285 | −$170 | -60% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Oct 22 | $214 | −$21 | -10% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 17 | $300 | +$114 | +38% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 05 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | Sep 05 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Sep 05 | $1,025 | −$727 | -71% |
| Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? | Aug 06 | $50 | +$27 | +54% |
| Israel parliament dissolved in 2025? | Aug 06 | $60 | $0 | -1% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Aug 06 | $20 | −$8 | -38% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Aug 06 | $3,262 | −$1,179 | -36% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? | Aug 06 | $20 | −$12 | -58% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31? | Aug 06 | $10 | +$11 | +111% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025? | Jul 13 | $141 | +$149 | +106% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Jun 26 | $977 | −$860 | -88% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | Jun 26 | $949 | −$669 | -70% |