Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e83…81d1
sports · 24 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$796 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$914 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$141
Realized−$914
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses7 / 15
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions2
Markets (closed)22 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$207
Trades / day70.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 22 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$914
7 days−$914
14 days−$914
30 days−$914
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 63¢ 57¢ $151 $139 −$12 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 77¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+30%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 17¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 39¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 28¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 59¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 96¢ $650 $0 −$650 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 22¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $203 −$194 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $701 +$31 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $128 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,037 −$50 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $651 −$650 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $750 +$53 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $117 +$15 +13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $110 +$8 +7%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $82 −$1 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $47 −$46 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $101 +$29 +29%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -5%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $100 +$11 +10%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $8 +$1 +14%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$927
other 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 65¢ $154 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 69¢ $101 3m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $552 13m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $131 20m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $100 21m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 42¢ $0 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $101 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit $10 24m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $101 25m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 67¢ $202 28m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 32¢ $20 28m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 79¢ $50 48m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 30¢ $51 59m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 35¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 45¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 62¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $375 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 97¢ $128 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $357 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 97¢ $128 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 94¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 96¢ $400 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 96¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 92¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $829 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 94¢ $99 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 94¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 81¢ $89 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 89¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $101 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-50.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -45.0% -50.3% 32% 18% -29.7%
≤30d 22 -45.0% -50.3% 32% 18% -29.7%
≤90d 22 -45.0% -50.3% 32% 18% -29.7%
all 22 -45.0% -50.3% 32% 18% -29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.3% 18% -29.7%
10% ← realistic here -55.0% 5% -36.4%
15% -59.4% 0% -42.6%
20% -63.3% 0% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $141.00 · official $141.00 (match) · 82 history records