Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e7c…c4c5
sports · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$348 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$348 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses295 / 166
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$461
Open positions0
Markets (closed)461 / 461
History coverage63d
Avg bet$71
Trades / day54.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days+$47
14 days+$345
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 67¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 63¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 2 Winner Aeterna Esports 40¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 43¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 52¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner T1 Academy 67¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Red Feet - Map 2 Winner Red Feet 13¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 38¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winner R2 Esports Club 37¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner UNO MILLE $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 69¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 49¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 76¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Team Vitality 73¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner CCG Esports 30¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Fnatic 64¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 49¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 37¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner Sharks 43¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 69¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner FlyQuest 59¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 70¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner LOS 87¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics 44¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 38¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $171 +$11 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $643 +$57 +9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $199 +$17 +8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $154 +$31 +20%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $342 −$40 -12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $87 +$6 +7%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $100 $0 -0%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $290 −$197 -68%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $45 +$1 +2%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $259 $0 +0%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $40 +$2 +5%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $143 +$2 +1%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $383 −$21 -6%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $69 −$60 -87%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $475 +$69 +14%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $164 +$35 +21%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $1 $0 +11%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $610 +$41 +7%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $17 +$1 +9%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $405 −$60 -15%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $248 +$44 +18%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $370 −$211 -57%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $89 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $45 +$4 +10%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $74 +$23 +31%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $160 +$38 +24%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $91 +$1 +1%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $191 +$17 +9%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $239 −$25 -10%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $682 +$43 +6%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $590 +$38 +6%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $134 +$14 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $224 +$40 +18%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $424 −$72 -17%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $257 +$17 +6%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $259 +$26 +10%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $148 −$19 -13%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $274 +$12 +4%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $350 +$20 +6%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $390 −$123 -32%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $328 +$61 +19%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $630 +$82 +13%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $246 +$32 +13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $398 +$31 +8%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $330 +$37 +11%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $92 +$4 +5%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $76 +$4 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$539
crypto 2% −$193
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner SELL Misa Esports 99¢ $10 9m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 88¢ $9 9m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 93¢ $46 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 92¢ $46 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 90¢ $12 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 NORD 90¢ $78 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $80 1h
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 91¢ $91 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $96 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 87¢ $87 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ $41 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ $33 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $83 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $151 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 47¢ $26 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 40¢ $40 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 35¢ $34 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 57¢ $15 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 64¢ $63 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 58¢ $57 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 39¢ $102 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 44¢ $102 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 45¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 56¢ $55 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 56¢ $55 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $102 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $21 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ $28 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $27 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +38.0% +24.9% 76% 30% -6.7%
≤30d 174 +35.2% +22.4% 70% 29% -7.6%
≤90d 461 +11.6% +0.9% 64% 36% -7.4%
all 461 +11.6% +0.9% 64% 36% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.9% 36% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -8.7% 23% -16.3%
15% -17.5% 16% -24.4%
20% -25.6% 9% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records