Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e79…f09d
crypto · 1217 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$483 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$483 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$483
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses622 / 606
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1228 / 1217
History coverage8d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day173.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$181
7 days−$557
14 days−$483
30 days−$483
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 50¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 50¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 50¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 50¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 50¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 50¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 50¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 50¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 33¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 50¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 50¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 50¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$6 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$8 +625%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$383
other 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down $0 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1096 -12.9% -21.2% 50% 16% -13.1%
≤30d 1228 -11.6% -20.0% 51% 16% -12.3%
≤90d 1228 -11.6% -20.0% 51% 16% -12.3%
all 1228 -11.6% -20.0% 51% 16% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 16% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 14% -20.7%
15% -34.6% 13% -28.4%
20% -41.1% 11% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records