Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e74…c425
other · 90 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$86 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses9 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage84d
Avg bet$223
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$0
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 13 $446 −$1 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $34 $0 -0%
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 06 $49 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 05 $64 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 05 $78 $0 +0%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 28 $38 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 27 $45 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $29 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $33 $0 -0%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 21 $242 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $45 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $196 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 15 $213 $0 -0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? May 14 $218 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 14 $223 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 08 $441 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $220 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $220 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $223 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $222 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $218 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $930 −$1 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $216 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? May 01 $16 $0 +1%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $641 −$1 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 27 $209 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 20 $216 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 19 $214 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 18 $215 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $419 $0 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $232 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $398 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $648 −$1 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Apr 15 $229 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $700 −$1 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $682 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 13 $487 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $455 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on Apr 13 $228 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $214 $0 -0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $411 $0 -0%
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i Apr 11 $231 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 10 $432 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 10 $920 −$1 -0%
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i Apr 10 $225 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 10 $228 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 09 $229 $0 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $12 +$9 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 68% −$19
politics 14% −$3
sports 7% −$62
economics 4% −$1
world 3% −$1
tech 2% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $36 1h
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $36 10h
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $34 6d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $34 6d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $9 7d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $30 7d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 7d
Will BIG win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $49 7d
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $38 16d
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $38 16d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $45 16d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $45 17d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $64 17d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $29 18d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $29 18d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $78 21d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $33 21d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $33 22d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 SELL No 100¢ $34 23d
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 100¢ $34 23d
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 50¢ $5 23d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $45 24d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $45 24d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $28 24d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $28 24d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $205 28d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $205 28d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $213 29d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $213 29d
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $218 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 15 -6.7% -15.6% 13% 0% -9.9%
≤90d 90 -8.9% -17.6% 10% 6% -9.9%
all 90 -8.9% -17.6% 10% 6% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 6% -9.9%
10% -25.4% 6% -18.5%
15% -32.7% 4% -26.4%
20% -39.3% 2% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 257 history records