Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e72…9644
crypto · 979 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,197 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,197 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,197
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses595 / 676
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1271 / 979
History coverage13d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day212.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,230
7 days−$2,172
14 days−$2,197
30 days−$2,197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$13 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$886
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $21 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $26 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $17 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $24 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $12 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $12 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 772 -29.7% -36.4% 36% 34% -25.2%
≤30d 1271 -17.1% -25.0% 47% 40% -15.5%
≤90d 1271 -17.1% -25.0% 47% 40% -15.5%
all 1271 -17.1% -25.0% 47% 40% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover212.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.0% 40% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -32.2% 31% -23.6%
15% -38.8% 24% -31.0%
20% -44.8% 16% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records