Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T16:00:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1e6b…50a2 crypto 1055 markets active 1h ago coverage 45d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 44d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,484 (-4%) realized −$1,484 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate58%607W / 448L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day64.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$373
7 days−$581
14 days−$144
30 days−$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,140
other 0% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 123 -9.8% -18.4% 54% 53% -20.3%
≤30d 740 -3.3% -12.5% 60% 48% -9.9%
≤90d 1055 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 47% -12.1%
all 1055 -4.6% -13.7% 58% 47% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 47% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 40% -20.5%
15% -29.5% 31% -28.2%
20% -36.4% 22% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$22 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

45d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,484
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses607 / 448
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 1055
History coverage45d ⚠
Avg bet$40
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1055 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 21 $119 −$115 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 21 $97 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 21 $98 −$95 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 21 $140 +$44 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 21 $124 +$27 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 21 $111 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 21 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Jun 21 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 19 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $32 −$16 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$29 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $59 +$24 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$11 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $33 +$19 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $139 +$92 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $42 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$18 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $32 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$21 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$27 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$33 +208%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $119 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $119 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $97 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $98 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $151 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $124 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 63¢ $124 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $100 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $14 47h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 19¢ $51 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $95 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $45 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $23 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $16 2d
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $57 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $28 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $7 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records