Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e69…97bc
sports · 6 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$9 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 57¢ 62¢ $63 $68 +$5 (+8%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 46¢ 46¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 46¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-5%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 35¢ 34¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $69 +$26 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 35¢ $8 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $16 8h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 46¢ $18 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 57¢ $64 10h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $13 28h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 58¢ $56 29h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $21 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-37.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -31.3% -37.9% 50% 50% -4.3%
≤30d 2 -31.3% -37.9% 50% 50% -4.3%
≤90d 2 -31.3% -37.9% 50% 50% -4.3%
all 2 -31.3% -37.9% 50% 50% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.9% 50% -4.3%
10% -43.8% 50% -13.5%
15% -49.3% 50% -21.8%
20% -54.2% 0% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.66 · official $108.66 (match) · 9 history records