Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T15:00:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
1E 0x1e68…0485 crypto 60 markets active 2h ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$9 (+0%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%59W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$98per market
Trades / day3.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$109now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$3
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 48 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 59 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 59 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$109
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses59 / 0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)59 / 60
History coverage38d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 59 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 29? No 100¢ 100¢ $110 $109 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 26? Jun 27 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 28? Jun 27 $91 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? Jun 26 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 26? Jun 24 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 25? Jun 24 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 24? Jun 22 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 23? Jun 22 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 23? Jun 21 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? Jun 20 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 21? Jun 18 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 19? Jun 18 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 18? Jun 17 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 18? Jun 16 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 17? Jun 15 $108 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 17? Jun 15 $107 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 14? Jun 15 $107 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on June 16? Jun 14 $107 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 15? Jun 14 $107 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 June 8-14? Jun 13 $107 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 14? Jun 12 $107 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 12? Jun 11 $107 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 10 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 10? Jun 09 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 10? Jun 09 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 10? Jun 09 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $66 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 8? Jun 08 $40 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 7? Jun 07 $106 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 8? Jun 06 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $105 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 4? Jun 03 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3? Jun 02 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 3? Jun 02 $17 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on June 3? Jun 01 $87 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on June 3? Jun 01 $86 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 31? Jun 01 $104 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on June 1? May 31 $100 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 30 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 30? May 29 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 30? May 28 $103 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 28? May 27 $100 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 29? BUY No 100¢ $110 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 28? SELL No 100¢ $91 12h
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 26? BUY No 100¢ $18 23h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? SELL No 100¢ $6 31h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? SELL No 100¢ $6 34h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? SELL No 100¢ $6 35h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 28? BUY No 100¢ $91 36h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? SELL No 100¢ $91 40h
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $109 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 26? SELL No 100¢ $61 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 26? SELL No 100¢ $48 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 26? BUY No 100¢ $109 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 25? SELL No 100¢ $45 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 25? SELL No 100¢ $65 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 25? BUY No 100¢ $109 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 24? SELL Yes 100¢ $109 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 24? BUY Yes 100¢ $109 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $109 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $109 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $32 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $76 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $109 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? SELL No 100¢ $109 7d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $108 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 21? SELL No 100¢ $108 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 21? BUY No 100¢ $108 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 19? SELL No 100¢ $77 8d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 19? SELL No 100¢ $27 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 19? SELL No 100¢ $5 9d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 19? BUY No 100¢ $108 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $109.33 · official $109.33 (match) · 148 history records