Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:19:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
1E 0x1e5d…7993 crypto 123 markets active 6d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate83%102W / 21L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day90.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -7.9% -16.7% 79% 42% -14.7%
≤30d 123 -1.0% -10.4% 83% 59% -10.4%
≤90d 123 -1.0% -10.4% 83% 59% -10.4%
all 123 -1.0% -10.4% 83% 59% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover90.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 59% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 8% -19.0%
15% -26.8% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses102 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)123 / 123
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day90.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 123 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $33 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $23 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $7 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 256 history records