Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e5d…2dcc
crypto · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses167 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)172 / 172
History coverage10d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$89
7 days−$79
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $46 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$25
other 4% −$54
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $45 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 170 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.9%
≤30d 172 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.9%
≤90d 172 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.9%
all 172 -0.6% -10.1% 97% 0% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -10.9%
10% -18.7% 0% -19.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -27.2%
20% -33.7% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 340 history records