Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:27:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
1E 0x1e5b…1706 crypto 47 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$28 (+3%) realized +$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate87%41W / 6L
Drawdown56%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day45.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +11.2% +0.6% 87% 43% -7.1%
≤30d 47 +11.2% +0.6% 87% 43% -7.1%
≤90d 47 +11.2% +0.6% 87% 43% -7.1%
all 47 +11.2% +0.6% 87% 43% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 43% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 23% -16.0%
15% -17.8% 15% -24.1%
20% -25.9% 11% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +19% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$17 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.22 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses41 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day45.6
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $61 −$26 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$16 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$4 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$16 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 131 history records