Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:50:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1E
0x1e3e…d953
crypto · 934 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,708 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,606 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,606
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses723 / 211
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)934 / 934
History coverage81d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day34.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 934 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days−$123
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$2 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$4 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$4 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -93%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$9 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 95% −$1,563
crypto 4% −$60
other 1% +$15
tech 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $16 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +6.3% -3.8% 76% 44% -5.3%
≤30d 266 -4.5% -13.6% 65% 39% -14.7%
≤90d 934 +1.0% -8.6% 77% 30% -11.9%
all 934 +1.0% -8.6% 77% 30% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 30% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 16% -20.4%
15% -25.4% 8% -28.1%
20% -32.7% 3% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records